Let's make this movie a BIG success for Michael

Memefan

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Revising the Image of Jackson’s Final Days

By BEN SISARIO
When the news about Michael Jackson arrived, Kenny Ortega couldn’t believe it.
It was the afternoon of June 25, and Mr. Ortega, the director of Mr. Jackson’s planned run of “This Is It” concerts, was at the Staples Center in Los Angeles, where the show was in its final rehearsals. One of the promoters had called to say that Mr. Jackson was dead.
“I made him repeat himself a number of times,” Mr. Ortega said in a telephone interview this week, still wrenching over the memory. “I hung up the phone and had my assistant call him back and I said, ‘Tell me something that no one else would know other than us,’ and he told me again, Michael had died. I thought it had to be a rumor. There was some crazy media thing going on here.”
Millions around the world felt the same shock, but for Mr. Ortega it was especially puzzling. Mr. Jackson had been readying himself for what were to have been 50 comeback shows in London, and despite being very thin, he seemed to be in good health. The night before he died — from drugs including propofol, a powerful anesthetic that he had been taking as a sleeping aid — he had been in rehearsal, nimble and powerful as ever, Mr. Ortega said.
Despite four months of lurid coverage in the news media over Mr. Jackson’s final days and his death at age 50, it is the image of a physically vigorous and mentally focused Michael Jackson that Sony Pictures and the Jackson estate are eager to convey with “This Is It,” a new film opening around the world on Wednesday for a two-week run. Drawn from 120 hours of rehearsal footage — for which Sony paid $60 million — the film, directed by Mr. Ortega, shows Mr. Jackson as healthy, clear-headed and capable, according to a number of people who have seen it. (Sony did not screen the film for The New York Times for this article.)
“Was he slight? Yes. Was he frail? At times,” Mr. Ortega said. “But we had a very strong and excited, happy and determined Michael. He wanted to do this more than anything he’s ever wanted to do, and he was involved in every aspect of this project. He was there, he was invested, and he wanted to do this. That’s the truth. It really is.”
Some viewers may remain skeptical, but plenty of fans have rushed to buy tickets in advance. The film will be playing on about 3,000 screens in the United States, and more than 1,600 show times have already sold out since tickets went on sale on Sept. 27, according to the ticketing services Fandango and Movietickets.com. Although a scan through the Web reveals that tickets are available for many theaters around the country, even on opening night.
The film’s biggest success, however, might come on the international market, where Mr. Jackson’s reputation has historically been less damaged by tabloid rumors and by his 2005 trial for child molestation, in which he was acquitted. Reflecting Mr. Jackson’s status as a global superstar, the film is opening in about 18,000 theaters around the world, including 2,400 in China. “I’m not sure if that’s a record, but it’s more than we’ve ever had,” said Jeff Blake, Sony’s chairman for worldwide marketing and distribution, about the screenings in China.
Since the film is a cross between a documentary and a concert film, its box-office performance is hard to predict. Mr. Blake said only that Sony hoped it would be “the biggest concert film ever released,” comparing it to “Hannah Montana/Miley Cyrus: Best of Both Worlds Concert Tour” last year, which grossed $65 million in the United States and another $5 million abroad. (Mr. Ortega was the stage director for that tour, and a producer of the movie.) Box-office tracking companies expect that in its first five days in the United States it will make about $40 million to $50 million.
Yet there may be obstacles to “This Is It” becoming a full blockbuster. Audience-tracking companies report that the film’s potential audience is split between a core of Jackson fans — the most devoted demographic is black women over 30 — and a large number of others who express no interest at all.
Sony executives have said the two-week run could be extended if demand is strong enough.
Mr. Blake said Sony is not advertising the film as heavily as it normally would a new release, relying instead on word of mouth and continued loyalty to Mr. Jackson. For record sales, at least, the hunger for Jackson product has been remarkable. Since his death Mr. Jackson has sold 5.5 million albums and more than 9 million downloads of individual tracks, according to Nielsen SoundScan, and the demand has remained relatively steady.
But the filmmakers said they are also aware of the danger of appearing to exploit Mr. Jackson’s memory. When plans for the film were announced in August, it was to include a career retrospective and interviews with members of the Jackson circle, but Mr. Ortega said he scrapped that idea quickly, deciding to stick to footage directly related to the show.
“I don’t want anyone to say that any of this was manipulated,” Mr. Ortega said. “This is honest, raw, unguarded, right up until the day he died.”
His decision put even greater pressure on the already Herculean task of editing the footage down to 111 minutes in time for a late-October release. That was made possible by the fact that most of the rehearsals had been shot in high-definition video, which does not require the lengthy chemical processing of film. Still, the job turned into a blur of 14-hour days and 7-day work weeks, with multiple editors sorting through the footage, said Randy Phillips, a producer of the film and chief executive of AEG Live, which was promoting the London concerts.
“We did in six weeks what usually takes nine months,” Mr. Phillips said.
It was grueling, Mr. Ortega said, but appropriate for a project meant to honor a man he described as a passionate workaholic. Early in the production Mr. Jackson, Mr. Ortega and Travis Payne, the show’s choreographer, made a pact to monitor one another’s health, Mr. Payne said. But that became impossible to enforce on Mr. Jackson, who frequently gave up sleep to work on the show, from grand concepts to the tiniest detail. “He even designed the ticket,” Mr. Payne said.
The overall goal, Mr. Ortega said, was to produce something unforgettable.
“The show we create here has to have people leaving and not being able to turn it off,” he recalled Mr. Jackson saying. “They shouldn’t be able to go to sleep. They have to see the sun come up and still be talking about it.”

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/22/movies/22jackson.html?_r=1&hpw=&pagewanted=print

Unlike what AEG were saying earlier, the movie IS NOT a runaway success yet. The NYT reports that the audience is split.

Let's encourage friends and family to see the movie and make it a success. MJ deserves it more than anyone.
 
Yet there may be obstacles to “This Is It” becoming a full blockbuster. Audience-tracking companies report that the film’s potential audience is split between a core of Jackson fans — the most devoted demographic is black women over 30 — and a large number of others who express no interest at all.

This is sooo stupid, how did Tyler Perry become a multi-millionaire over night with every one of his Madea movies opening up to the #1 spot then??

ANd I don't believe that hardcore fans are going to ignore the movie. A select few will not see since they are under the assumption that AEG had something to do with MJs death.


 
I have a feeling that word of mouth will help TII in the theaters, as well. I think the other people that say they are uninterested also want to read reviews on it and hear what people have to say.
 
This is sooo stupid, how did Tyler Perry become a multi-millionaire over night with every one of his Madea movies opening up to the #1 spot then??

ANd I don't believe that hardcore fans are going to ignore the movie. A select few will not see since they are under the assumption that AEG had something to do with MJs death.

Shimar, they are reporting what tracking companies are finding in their surveys.

I DO NOT think the movie will be a big blockbuster. Interest in MJ has gone down a bit compare to 3 or 4 months ago, which was expected. That is why they wanted the movie out as quickly as possible. Folks, aside from hardcore fans, will not morn MJ for 4, 5, or 6 months.

What the tracking companies are finding is a split between hardcore fans and 'a large number of others' who don't really care.

AEG & Sony should lower expectations, and quit yapping about sold out shows. Now that they put that ridiculous story out about the movie making 250M$ in 5 days, if it does anything lower than that, the press will start labeling the movie a failure and will question MJ's legacy in the long run.

I have a feeling that word of mouth will help TII in the theaters, as well. I think the other people that say they are uninterested also want to read reviews on it and hear what people have to say.

True, but the movie won't be in theater long enough to profit from word of mouth. If it stays out for only two weeks,as it is expected, people who hear the reviews have to see it the following week and then "this is it". Pun intended.
 
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A select few will not see since they are under the assumption that AEG had something to do with MJs death.
Or because of what happened soon after the footage.

Will TII do very well? I hope so.
 
I agree that AEG's handling of the film has been poor. They started talking about massive success, sold out shows etc and the media repeated this across the world and so there are many people who would be interested to see this film who think there aren't any tickets available. The lack of promotion in many places does nothing to change that impression and so people continue to believe they can't buy a ticket even if they wanted to.

The figures banded around in the press of $250million are completely unobtainable and whoever started that particular rumour should be sacked because it'll only give the press ammunition to call the film a flop when it doesn't reach it.

Memefan, when I read that Sony were relying on word of mouth, my first thought was the same as yours. The film's not out long enough to benefit from that, PLUS the first few days counts for a lot and how are they going to fill the seats in order to spread this positive word of mouth? They haven't even allowed the press enough viewing time to write proper reviews of the film!
 
Will 'This Is It' perform like Jackson?

Success of Sony's big bet hinges on the film's appealing to more than just die-hard fans.

49990585.jpg
Michael Jackson fans begin a three-day wait at LA Live in downtown Los Angeles last month for tickets to "This Is It." The movie opens Tuesday for a two-week run. (Mark Ralston / AFP/Getty Images / September 25, 2009)


By Ben Fritz and John Horn October 22, 2009


In late July, a month after Michael Jackson died from the effects of a powerful anesthetic plus other medications, Sony Pictures bid $60 million for a movie after seeing just 97 seconds of footage.

That brief clip was a glimpse of more than 100 hours that concert promoter AEG Live shot of the late singer during rehearsals for a planned London concert series called "This Is It."

"We had a very strong gut feeling that this could be a cultural event despite the fact that none of us really saw any of the footage before we concluded the deal," said Sony's production president, Doug Belgrad.

When "This Is It" opens in 63 countries Tuesday night with a Los Angeles premiere at 6 p.m., Sony will find out quickly whether it has a global blockbuster on its hands or merely a pastiche of backstage video that appeals mostly to rabid Jackson fans.

With the huge amount it spent to buy the footage, and tens of millions more in marketing costs, Sony has a lot at stake in "This Is It," which is scheduled to play in theaters only two weeks. The movie was put together in an extraordinarily short period of under three months and has been seen by virtually no one outside the studio. Moreover, as something akin to a concert film -- about 80% of the picture shows Jackson singing and dancing -- it is in a genre that has little history of big box-office success.

Many film industry executives expect that "This Is It" will earn considerably more overseas than in the U.S. given Jackson's global appeal -- his last tour in 1996-97, for instance, played all around the world, but the American shows were only in Honolulu.

"This Is It" will also be one of about 20 foreign movies that the Chinese government will allow to be played in the country this year.

"I would be disappointed if this doesn't significantly outdo its domestic performance internationally," said Tim Richards, chief executive of Vue Cinemas, a major British theater chain.

Everywhere the movie will play, big ticket sales Tuesday night and Wednesday seem assured -- more than 1,600 U.S. showings have sold out online. "This Is It" could easily collect more than $20 million domestically by Wednesday, according to people who have seen surveys of potential moviegoers.

However, many similar movies, such as Disney's 2008 concert film "Miley Cyrus/Hannah Montana: Best of Both Worlds," have experienced steep drop-offs in ticket sales after the first rush of fans came out for the opening. Depending on the rate of decline, Sony could end up in a losing position even if the picture's early grosses are impressive.

"It's a two-week picture that might do all of its business in the first week," said Alan Grossberg, the president of Ultrastar Cinemas of Vista, Calif., which has booked "This Is It" in 12 of its 13 locations. "Michael Jackson fans will rush out to see it, but whether they will come back a second or third time, we don't know."

Sony is hoping to win its costly bet on "This Is It" by transforming the global outpouring of emotion when Jackson died into global excitement over a final chance to see one of the most popular musical performers ever in action, a major reason it is arriving in theaters so quickly after his death.

The movie was edited by about 20 people working under director Kenny Ortega, who was also overseeing the concert, in what Sony's Belgrad described as a "vault" on the Sony Pictures lot in Culver City.

The team put together a rough cut of about 2 1/2 hours and showed studio executives more than three versions of the film before Labor Day. Sony Pictures co-chair Amy Pascal watched several cuts via a private video feed while on vacation in Hawaii.

"There were a lot of technical obstacles," Belgrad said. "Some of the footage was hi-def, but some was lower [resolution]. The music and sound had to be recorded and mixed. . . . We had to make over 18,000 prints in dozens of languages."

Most movies as expensive as "This Is It" go through numerous test screenings during post-production and are shown to exhibitors and journalists ahead of time in order to drum up interest.

Given the extremely short timeline on which it was made and the sensitivity of the footage, however, nobody outside of Sony Pictures -- with the exception of a few members of the Jackson family and AEG executives, as well as a small number of theater executives -- have seen the movie, which hasn't been tested in front of an audience or shown to critics.

Sony's marketing campaign hasn't revealed much, either. There have been few TV advertisements, as Sony has put most of its marketing budget into outdoor images of Jackson performing within a silhouette of himself, as well as online ads.

In addition, there's the obvious challenge that the film's star is not alive to do promotional interviews.

"The biggest issue we feel we have in the marketplace is to try and clarify what the movie is," Belgrad said. "There's some confusion as to whether it's a documentary and whether it deals with parts of his life beyond the rehearsal period."

There's evidence that Belgrad's concern is legitimate. In an unscientific survey of more than 1,000 people conducted by Fandango, 52% of respondents said they believed "This Is It" is a documentary, while 39% said it's a concert film.

By next Thursday, however, the word on "This Is It" will have spread around the globe and Sony will know whether its audience is already petering out, or if those who turned out on opening day are going back and bringing friends -- the formula for a huge box-office success. If that's the case, Sony will probably extend the movie's planned two-week run.

"We would love it if it's playable enough to give us justification to extend the run," Belgrad said. "But if it's a fast burn and people flock to it when it opens but it plays out like other concert films, that will probably still work out for us."
 
I agree that AEG's handling of the film has been poor. They started talking about massive success, sold out shows etc and the media repeated this across the world and so there are many people who would be interested to see this film who think there aren't any tickets available. The lack of promotion in many places does nothing to change that impression and so people continue to believe they can't buy a ticket even if they wanted to.

The figures banded around in the press of $250million are completely unobtainable and whoever started that particular rumour should be sacked because it'll only give the press ammunition to call the film a flop when it doesn't reach it.

Memefan, when I read that Sony were relying on word of mouth, my first thought was the same as yours. The film's not out long enough to benefit from that, PLUS the first few days counts for a lot and how are they going to fill the seats in order to spread this positive word of mouth? They haven't even allowed the press enough viewing time to write proper reviews of the film!

Well, we can't really blame Sony. They already paid 60M for a concert movie, even though it is MJ, there is no guarantee that it will be a success outside of the fan base. Promotion has been limited to avoid wasting additional money.

My hunch is there is an overkill of Michael Jackson. The family is constantly on TV. A day cannot go by without the press coming up with a new story, even with the littlest link to MJ. Non fans are tired of hearing about him, so they may not have any interest in seeing the movie.

Then you have fans who don't want to see the movie for their own personal reason.

Strong word of mouth should help the movie the first weekend, which I consider to be the make or break period. Most fans are going on the Wednesday & Thursday...if there is a great buzz, it will help the movie attract the Friday night crowd (Saturday is Halloween, so it won't be a very strong day).

Regardless of its success overseas, it is important that the movie has a strong showing in North America. I am hopeful it will be very profitable and help the estate out of debt.
 
@Memefen "My hunch is there is an overkill of Michael Jackson. The family is constantly on TV. A day cannot go by without the press coming up with a new story, even with the littlest link to MJ. Non fans are tired of hearing about him, so they may not have any interest in seeing the movie"

Exactly. i agree with you 100%. There is too much coverage of MJ and the constant appearing of the 3 musketeers (Joe, Jermain and LaToya) is doing too much damage. They don't understand mystery as MJ will say.
 
Fandango Ticket Sales at 31%
October 22,
http://www.examiner.com/x-27365-You...-This-Is-It-movie-31-of-Fandango-ticket-sales#
Michael Jackson's This Is It film tops Fandango's ticket sales.
The online ticket seller says that sales for the movie, which does not even come out until October 28, presently represent 31% of the site's entire ongoing ticket sales, nearly 1/3. These sales are followed close behind by advanced tickets for The Twilight Saga: New Moon, which represents 24% of sales. That means over 1/2, or 55% of all ticket sales at the site right now are pre-sale tickets for two movies with huge popular appeal, and much audience anticipation, this fall.
This Is It is a film showing Mr. Jackson's last rehearsal for a planned London concert run that the pop star had said would be his last.
Michael Jackson died unexpectedly on June 25, 2009 at the age of 50.
 
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